Pre-tourney Rankings
Northern Arizona
Big Sky
2013-14
Overall
Predictive Rating-5.1#256
Expected Predictive Rating-4.6#248
Pace62.7#295
Improvement+1.3#120

Offense
Total Offense-3.0#258
Improvement+1.3#109

Defense
Total Defense-2.0#225
Improvement+0.1#169
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2013 301   @ Texas San Antonio W 74-63 55%     1 - 0 +4.7 -9.0 +13.0
  Nov 11, 2013 71   @ Texas Tech L 68-88 9%     1 - 1 -10.0 +2.3 -13.3
  Nov 15, 2013 143   @ USC L 63-67 18%     1 - 2 +0.5 -0.4 +0.6
  Nov 17, 2013 174   @ Loyola Marymount L 78-90 24%     1 - 3 -9.8 +1.7 -10.9
  Nov 29, 2013 223   Cal St. Bakersfield L 50-61 44%     1 - 4 -14.5 -21.1 +6.1
  Nov 30, 2013 176   Drake L 56-76 34%     1 - 5 -20.9 -14.8 -7.2
  Dec 01, 2013 123   @ Fresno St. L 67-71 OT 15%     1 - 6 +1.9 -2.2 +3.9
  Dec 07, 2013 135   Hawaii L 66-76 34%     1 - 7 -10.7 -9.1 -1.8
  Dec 14, 2013 235   Grand Canyon W 63-61 57%     2 - 7 -5.0 -14.0 +9.0
  Dec 23, 2013 2   @ Arizona L 44-77 1%     2 - 8 -10.1 -5.7 -10.2
  Jan 02, 2014 219   @ Montana W 73-65 33%     3 - 8 1 - 0 +7.6 +7.6 +1.2
  Jan 04, 2014 294   @ Montana St. L 66-68 53%     3 - 9 1 - 1 -7.8 -2.4 -5.5
  Jan 09, 2014 267   Sacramento St. W 75-65 63%     4 - 9 2 - 1 +1.5 +8.4 -5.2
  Jan 13, 2014 347   @ Southern Utah W 70-36 79%     5 - 9 3 - 1 +20.3 +3.9 +21.8
  Jan 16, 2014 228   Eastern Washington W 84-65 57%     6 - 9 4 - 1 +12.2 -2.8 +13.1
  Jan 18, 2014 265   Portland St. W 77-56 63%     7 - 9 5 - 1 +12.5 +9.3 +6.2
  Jan 23, 2014 218   @ Northern Colorado L 72-87 33%     7 - 10 5 - 2 -15.4 +2.6 -19.7
  Jan 25, 2014 255   @ North Dakota L 68-84 39%     7 - 11 5 - 3 -18.2 -5.1 -13.9
  Jan 30, 2014 171   Weber St. L 67-76 43%     7 - 12 5 - 4 -12.2 -10.8 -1.1
  Feb 01, 2014 254   Idaho St. W 67-65 60%     8 - 12 6 - 4 -5.7 -4.9 -0.6
  Feb 06, 2014 267   @ Sacramento St. L 70-87 42%     8 - 13 6 - 5 -20.0 -6.2 -13.9
  Feb 08, 2014 347   Southern Utah W 64-57 90%     9 - 13 7 - 5 -12.3 -9.5 -2.1
  Feb 13, 2014 265   @ Portland St. W 65-63 42%     10 - 13 8 - 5 -0.9 -1.8 +1.2
  Feb 15, 2014 228   @ Eastern Washington L 65-84 35%     10 - 14 8 - 6 -20.2 -10.4 -9.9
  Feb 20, 2014 218   Northern Colorado L 59-74 54%     10 - 15 8 - 7 -21.0 -9.7 -14.2
  Feb 22, 2014 255   North Dakota L 63-75 60%     10 - 16 8 - 8 -19.7 -13.0 -7.3
  Feb 27, 2014 254   @ Idaho St. W 66-65 39%     11 - 16 9 - 8 -1.1 -1.0 +0.1
  Mar 01, 2014 171   @ Weber St. W 73-71 OT 24%     12 - 16 10 - 8 +4.4 +3.8 +0.7
  Mar 06, 2014 294   Montana St. W 61-48 73%     13 - 16 11 - 8 +1.6 -0.3 +5.2
  Mar 08, 2014 219   Montana W 67-47 54%     14 - 16 12 - 8 +14.0 +1.4 +16.7
  Mar 13, 2014 218   Northern Colorado L 60-62 43%     14 - 17 -5.2 -8.9 +3.4
Projected Record 14.0 - 17.0 12.0 - 8.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Sky Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Big Sky Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8 0.0%
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8 100.0% 100.0
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%